CNN elections expert Harry Enten noted on Thursday that Donald Trump is trailing Joe Biden by a large margin, even GOP pollsters are showing the data.
Enten has examined “more than a dozen” of internal Republican and conservative polls that have been publicly released, and he’s found that they all show “Trump clearly underperforming his 2016 showing.”
Enten noted that Trump is doing, on average, 5 points worse than he did in 2016 among multiple key states.
If this pattern holds true on election day, he argues, Trump will be easily defeated.
“If Trump actually did 5 points worse than he did in 2016 in the swing states, it would mean he’d lose Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin,” he writes. “Those states, plus the ones Hillary Clinton won in 2016, would be more than enough for Biden to get over 270 electoral votes.”
Eten goes on to point out that it could be worse for Trump as these polls are just the ones Republicans are willing to make public, which means that there are likely several other internal polls showing the president doing even worse.
“The bottom line is that there’s really no reason to think that the Republicans have some secret polling putting Trump in a better position than the public polling does,” he concludes. “The signs, in fact, point in the opposite direction.”
You can read the full analysis HERE.
