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Poll: Iowa Now In Play As Biden Erases Trump’s Lead With Independents

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In a state that Donald Trump won by 9 points in 2016, the race is now a tie between the incumbent and his opponent Joe Biden.

A new poll from The Des Moines Register and Mediacom Iowa shows that the race in Iowa is a virtual tie at 47 points for each candidate.

The poll was conducted earlier this month, prior to the death on Friday of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, whose replacement on the bench has quickly emerged as a top campaign issue.

Iowa had been a blue state for the past two elections before Trump won it in 2016. He was able to obtain enough women votes to defeat Hillary Clinton by a 51-42 margin.

But the new poll looks like it’s leaning towards Biden.

While Trump leads among men in Iowa by 21 points, Biden leads women by a similar margin, 20 points. According to CNN exit polling in Iowa in 2016, Clinton carried Iowa women by only 7 points.

Biden also has the advantage among independents, a group that gave Trump the win in the state in 2016 by 13 points. But now, Biden is leading that group with a 12-point margin (50-38).

The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll was conducted Sept. 14-17 and includes responses from 803 Iowa adults, including 658 likely voters. Results from the full sample have a margin of error of plus or minus 3. 5 percentage points, while results from likely voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

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