In a stunning political turn, Donald Trump has successfully flipped Georgia, reclaiming a state that rejected him in 2020. This remarkable reversal highlights Georgia’s status as a crucial Southern swing state, which had first supported Trump in 2016, then turned on him in 2020. Now, it has embraced him again, signaling a key shift in the state’s political landscape.
Trump’s efforts to overturn his 2020 loss in Georgia led to a wave of legal battles, not only for him but also for many Republicans in the state who joined in those attempts. His strained relationships with Republican leaders, particularly Governor Brian Kemp, fractured the state GOP, especially after Trump endorsed challengers to several incumbents in the 2022 elections. These divisions, compounded by legal challenges, put the party under significant strain. Yet, despite these obstacles, Trump managed to unite voters behind his candidacy once more, strategically prioritizing Georgia as a cornerstone of his path to the White House.
In the final stretch of the campaign, Trump’s team doubled down on ad spending and ground operations in Georgia, turning the state red once again. His opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, campaigned across the state and invested heavily in advertising, but ultimately fell short.
One of the biggest takeaways from the early returns is the noticeable trend of Trump outperforming his 2020 margins in many areas across the country. With over 1,300 counties reporting close to full results, Trump is showing significant gains over his 2020 performance, a sign of broader national trends that bode well for his candidacy.
Though many of the counties reporting thus far are in conservative or swing regions, these results are still noteworthy. The numbers suggest a consistent shift toward Trump, even in some areas that were once Democratic strongholds. While major urban centers and heavily Democratic counties have not fully reported yet, where results are in, the shift is clear: Trump is making inroads across a variety of regions.
In states like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania—key battlegrounds in 2020—the shifts have been less dramatic but still concerning for Democrats. In these “Blue Wall” states, counties that have reported 95 percent or more of their votes show a median shift of about 1 percent toward Trump. While it may seem small, in a close race, even slight changes can be decisive, narrowing Vice President Harris’s path to securing 270 electoral votes.
Trump’s biggest gains are coming in Florida, a state that has been trending more conservative in recent cycles. He is also improving his performance in suburban areas of northern Virginia, including Loudoun and Prince William counties, which had turned away from him in 2020. These areas—once considered strongholds for Democrats—are now showing signs of moving back toward the right.
As the night continued, campaign co-chair Cedric Richmond confirmed that Kamala Harris would not be speaking at her election night event. Addressing supporters at Howard University, Richmond thanked them for their efforts but acknowledged the uncertainty still looming over the race: “We still have votes to count. We still have states that have not been called yet,” he said. “We will continue overnight to fight to make sure that every vote has counted.”
With results still coming in, Trump’s stronger-than-expected performance in Georgia, and across the nation, is a major indication that the road to the White House for Harris and the Democrats may be steeper than they anticipated.