The blue wave that Republicans fear is shaping out to be a blue tsunami as more red states’ Senate seats are suddenly leaning blue. One particular Senate race, in Iowa, is rapidly tightening, with newly released polls showing Sen. Joni Ernst’s (R-Iowa) lead over her likely Democratic opponent, Theresa Greenfield, completely evaporating.
A survey conducted by Public Policy Polling shows Ernst leading Greenfield just by one point, 43 percent to 42 percent.The poll also shows Ernst’s approval rating in her home state is underwater. Thirty-seven percent of respondents said they approve of the job she’s doing in office compared to 43 percent who disapprove.
That’s a marked change from the December survey, which showed Ernst’s approval at 45 percent and her disapproval at 43 percent.
Ernst’s seat isn’t among Democrats’ four core targets that they see as particularly crucial to recapturing a majority in the Senate. The party is focused primarily on flipping Republican-held seats in Arizona, Colorado, Maine and North Carolina.
But Democrats also believe that Iowa has the potential to swing in their favor, citing Greenfield’s relatively strong early fundraising numbers and a March Des Moines Register poll that showed Ernst’s approval rating at 47 percent, down 10 points from where it was a year prior.
For the poll, Public Policy Polling surveyed 1,222 Iowa voters from April 30 to May 1. It has a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points.