A series of new polls from states with competitive Senate races shows momentum veering away from Republican incumbents at a time when President Trump’s re-election chances seem smaller by the day.
To win control of the Senate, Democrats likely will have to flip five of eight competitive seats with a Republican incumbent. Of the six races with recent polling, Democrats lead in five and trail by just one point in the other. If the polls are accurate, there’s a possibility Sen. Mitch McConnell would be kicked out of his leadership role.
Recent polls show an upward trend for Democrats, According to Axios:
Montana: Gov. Steve Bullock (D) leading incumbent Sen. Steve Daines (R) by 7 points.
North Carolina: Democratic candidate Cal Cunningham beating Republican Sen. Thom Tillis by 9 points
Arizona: Democratic frontrunner Mark Kelly leads Republican Sen. Martha McSally by 8 points in the Real Clear Politics polling average.
Kansas: Democratic frontrunner Barbara Bollier led possible Republican nominee Kris Kobach by 2 points in a recent Public Policy Polling survey.
Maine: Sara Gideon (D) has a 2.5-point lead over Republican Sen. Susan Collins in the Real Clear Politics average.
Iowa: Sen. Joni Ernst (R) is virtually tied with possible challenger Theresa Greenfield (D) in a new Public Policy Polling survey.
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Additionally, Republican incumbents were outraised in Q1 in Colorado, according to Axios.
